The United States presidential election is scheduled for November 4th, 2008.
Politicians use all kinds of paid media (Radio, TV, Print, Online, etc.) to influence voters. They also use different kinds of election advertising techniques such as Direct Marketing, Campaign Button, etc.[1] outside of the traditional media mix. You’ve probably already seen and heard some of these messages, but the volume of advertising will increase as we approach the election date.
Advertising during election season is important not only for the candidates but for special interest groups who seek to impact the election. These special seasonal advertisers will make their strongest case in the swing states where the electoral votes are up for grabs.
This year’s swing states have been identified as Arkansas, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
Will the advertising inventory be affected from the election? If so, on which level? Network or local?
Dan Matter, Senior Vice President/Director of Talk Radio Sales at Premiere Radio Networks, notes that during a Presidential election, audience levels for talk programs spike considerably leading up to and after the actual election. He predicts that since the election falls in November, demand will remain high through the end of the year as the retail holiday season starts shortly thereafter. Does this mean the network inventory is going to be affected from the election?
Chip Gedney, Senior Director at ABC Radio Networks, ESPN Radio and Radio Disney, agrees that more interest will be generated by the news/talk stations. However, he stops short of translating this demand for programming content to an advertising demand for commercial inventory.
Past presidential elections have seen greater demand for political advertising time on local radio, but not much with network radio. And the local markets that will feel the squeeze for airtime fall in the swing states, shown above.
We at RDR don’t foresee a significant change in network inventory unless one of the presidential candidates makes the surprise decision to use network radio. But be forewarned that local market avails will be tight in swing states in late September, October and the first week of November.
Askin Emir, Media Director
[1]For the full list of the election advertising techniques on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Campaign_advertising